Interactive predictor
Pick a race and its field, distance and breed load automatically — no typing names. The model is approximate and uses each horse’s full career. Metric definitions.
Model accuracy — measured on history
| Cohort | Races | Winner hit rate | Random |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored racesHorses with sufficient timed form — what the system used to measure | 9,128 | 21.8% | 7.2% |
| Cold-start racesNot scored by the old model — ranked by dynamic rating and debutant pedigree | 5,112 | 21.3% | 8.4% |
| All racesActual operational coverage: every race with four or more runners | 14,240 | 21.6% | 7.6% |
These figures describe the past; they promise nothing about the future. Accuracy is lower on races without prior form because those races are genuinely harder — not because the system neglects them. How to read these figures
Choose the race
Latest recorded meeting in the data: 2026-02-14 — Recorded races are therefore in the past; upcoming races come from the import files.